Improve your corporate forecasting
We harness and improve on your company's own talent to make better forecasts. This will give your company a better window into the future. Use it to build greater credibility with investors, make better decisions, and optimize key performance indicators.
All our consultants were awarded the Superforecaster status by the Good Judgment Project, a smart crowd of over 20,000 people. They had to consistently outperform 98% of the project participants to earn that status.
For more detail, see the book "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction" by Phil Tetlock and Dan Gardner. Superforecasters can control their biases better, always keep an open mind, and are much more numerate than the average of the population. They are also more efficient consumers of relevant news, enabling them to outperform average people in forecasting ability.
Our consultants coach your employees in the art and science of better forecasting.
As a second step, our partners will suggest custom improvements to your business forecasting environment.
As a third step, we can develop and improve on the questions that are important to you. We help your employees make their forecast and have Superforecasters compete with them on their regular monthly, quarterly and yearly forecasting. This will give your decision-makers a more accurate view on future company cash flows, trends and budget optimization.
A Unique team of consultants
Our consultants topped the accuracy charts of a multi-year prediction tournament. They were among the top 2% of about 20,000 participants.
Our consultants will share their new approaches and unconventional viewpoints.
You will identify the employees who make the best forecasts at your company. They generally won't be your most vocal employees.
Companies tend to use only a small fraction of the data that is available. They rely mostly on internal models, which are just a start. We will help you get out of this box.
Our coaching should be made available in a randomized fashion to part of the workforce before it is deployed at scale, to be able to assess their relative progress.
Our clients often don't take advantage of the full spectrum of available employee opinions. They rely on just a small cadre of specialized employees, who can't know everything.
Send an e-mail to email@example.com or contact us by phone, +49 176 227 031 07
Your Contact - Press Coverage
Dr. Roman Hagelstein
63069 Offenbach am Main